PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
450K-500K 44.2%-0.8ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
52,3 €
Liquidität
16.647,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
18. Aug. 26, 14:12 UTC3. Nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Montana Senate Election Winner
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 Montana Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Montana senate election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketMontana Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 615,5 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Montana Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket bewertet 450K-500K mit 44% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Montana Senate Election: Turnout entschieden?
- Montana Senate Election: Turnout soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Montana Senate Election: Turnout abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.