PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 6%
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
479,8 €
Liquidität
25.679,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 6.5%
Spread
30.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.8%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 18:0931. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes6%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteAktivste | 94% | — | 479,8 € | 25.679,8 € | vor 2 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets | 94% | — | — | — | vor 10 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket]
5Mon
6%
94%
Community-Prognose5 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen603,5 €
24h-Volumen68,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$5472. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
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UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
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U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
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Will Rubio visit Cuba in 2026?
0 €Ja: 30%
PREDICTIT
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Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
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KALSHI
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.