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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Megaquake by June 30?
Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

1.0% (24h)One-OffWissenschaft18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 7%-0.0%
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

6,4 €

Liquidität

5516 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

29. Dez. 25, 23:0730. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes7%

Regeln

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,867.10+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.28+1.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.73%XRPXRP$1.12+0.74%BNBBNB$596.82+1.84%

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Regeln

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.