PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 7%-0.0%
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1798 €
Liquidität
13.252,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-5.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
17. Juni 26, 20:0831. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes7%
Volumentrend
$2.1k2. Juli11T Daten12. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
95.198,1 €Before August: 2%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
64.146,9 €December 31: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
14.768,1 €2: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
7700,9 €Hong Wang: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?
3751,6 €Ja: 85.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAre the telepathy tapes actually documenting psychic abilities? (scientific consensus by 2026)
3634,4 €Ja: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
NVIDIA BioNeMo Toolkit Accelerates AI-Driven Drug DiscoveryBlockchain.News
Nvidia NVSHMEM Boosts GROMACS GPU Scaling for Molecular DynamicsBlockchain.News
Quantum Computing Boosts Fusion Fuel Research with Molten SaltsBlockchain.News
What Is Q-Day? The Quantum Threat to Bitcoin ExplainedDecrypt
Can Quantum Computers Break Bitcoin? The 2026 Answer, ExplainedBlockchain ReporterNVIDIA BioNeMo Toolkit Powers AI Agents in Life SciencesBlockchain.NewsRegeln
A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.