Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Under 79%+7.0pt
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
125,5 €
Liquidität
200,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
13.0% / 29.0%
Spread
16.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-20.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 18:33 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
FutuurMecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
KalshiAfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 11% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 11% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.