Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 96.3%
Prognostiker
26
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
17. Okt. 25, 06:04 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
PolymarketWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
KalshiCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
FutuurIf nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Absolute majority = majority of seats, allowing for a single-party government
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? entschieden?
- AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Absolute majority = majority of seats, allowing for a single-party government