KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAfD 80.4%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
10.745,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 17.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
1. Juni 26, 21:0020. Sept. 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
SPD16%
Plattformen vergleichen· AfD
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 83% | 0pt | 4977,6 € | 137.383,9 € | vor 11 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 86% | +3pt | 0 € | 10.745,7 € | vor 11 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
1.0 pts1Mon
-1.0pt83%
+0.5pt17%
0%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
82 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen373.886,6 €
24h-Volumen4977,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If SPD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$3004. Juli11T Daten21. Juli
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If SPD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.