PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 05.10.2026, 08:02 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5? — Lula 0%-17.4pt
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5? — Lula 0%-17.4ptMarktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
23.732,4 €
Liquidität
20.845 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 0.1%
Kommentare
2
7d-Änderung
-16.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 19:52 UTC5. Okt. 26, 16:00 UTC
Trends
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3? — LulaVerloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by which date?
PolymarketBy the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
Manifold MarketsWill Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Flavio Bolsonaro's Polymarket odds to win Brazil's election be above 65% at 8:00 am ET, October 5?
Manifold MarketsFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Each market in this event will resolve to "Lula" if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value is higher than Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on that market's listed date.
- Each market in this event will resolve to "Bolsonaro" if Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds value is higher than Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's hourly odds value in the "Brazil Presidential Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 12:00 PM ET on that market's listed date.
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's and Flávio Bolsonaro's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50.
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used.
