Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2026 28%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
61,9 €
Liquidität
6258,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.2% / 0.6%
Spread
200.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-1.8%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
11. Okt. 25, 1:4731. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
202628%
Verwandte Märkte
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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
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143,2 €2024: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister.
- He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition.
- On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.