Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
July 27 50%
July 27 50%Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
589,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
7
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0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
KalshiNuñez out as French Interior Minister by which date?
PolymarketWill Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu remain Prime Minister until the end of Macron's term?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketIsrael election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Sébastien Lecornu ceases to hold the office of Prime Minister of France for any period of time between the opening and ending dates specified in the market’s details, that market will resolve to "Yes".
- An official announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation or removal before the deadline resolves the market to "Yes" immediately, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal takes effect.
- Once the condition is first met, resolution is final and irrevocable, even if he is subsequently reappointed.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Sources are official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the Government of France (gouvernement.fr) and the Élysée.
- If needed, a consensus of credible reporting by news outlets will be used, honoring the spirit of the market.