PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Nein · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
Nein 97%
Nein 97%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
22.174,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
17.094,2 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
NeinSpread
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Kommentare
22
7d-Änderung
-1.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
19. Mai 26, 17:23 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · Nein
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
PolymarketWill the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?
Manifold MarketsPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?
PolymarketZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketClavicular sentenced to prison by which date?
Polymarket[Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
- If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
