PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 97%
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
28,4 €
Liquidität
16.621,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.4% / 2.6%
Spread
0.2 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
22
7d-Änderung
-0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
19. Mai 26, 17:23 UTC31. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
PolymarketWill the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
PolymarketZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Polymarket[Polymarket] Clavicular sentenced to prison?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Mountbatten-Windsor sentenced to prison in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will remain open through December 31, 2026, or until the specified individual is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison.
- Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
- Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
- If at any point the investigation or any resulting criminal case against the specified individual formally ends without any possibility of a jail/prison sentence being issued, including due to no charges being filed, charges being dismissed, an acquittal, or any other situation in which no judgment is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
