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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

14.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlMiddle East4Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 83%+0.1%
Marktqualitat

60 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

22,7 €

Liquidität

7372,4 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

81.0% / 85.0%

Spread

4.9%

Mittlerer Spread
7d-Änderung

+7.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

29. Apr. 26, 23:5427. Okt. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes83%

Regeln

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
  • If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
  • If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
  • If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
  • If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".