PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Nein · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
Nein 95%
Nein 95%Marktqualitat
81 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
13.271,3 €
Liquidität
31.821,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätOpen Interest
22.380,3 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
NeinSpread
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Kommentare
1
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 32 Minuten
28. Okt. 26, 19:37 UTC30. Nov. 26, 21:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · Nein
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel Election: Arab party and Likud in coalition?
PolymarketWill an Arab party be in the next Israeli coalition?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran target the United Arab Emirates by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target an Arab country by which date?
PolymarketIsrael election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Manifold MarketsIsrael election: Which party will win the most seats?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Elections to the 26th Knesset were held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Arab party is effectively disqualified from taking the seats it won in the 2026 Knesset election by the swearing-in of the 26th Knesset, or November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time, whichever comes first.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An Arab party is defined as Ra'am (United Arab List) or the Joint List.
- A disqualification is defined as any official action by Israeli authorities, taken after the October 27, 2026 election, that prevents an Arab party from taking the seats it won in the 26th Knesset.
- This includes, but is not limited to: an official determination that all votes cast for an Arab party’s list will not be counted or will be invalidated; the members elected on an Arab party’s list being barred from taking their seats in the Knesset; or an Arab party being forcibly dissolved or deregistered in a manner that prevents its elected members from taking their seats.
