Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: No 3–6%
Entschieden: 31.08.2026, 11:50
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 31.08.2026, 22:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
No 3–6% 100%+0.5ptFührend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat
47 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
788,6 €
Liquidität
—
Liquidität unbekanntSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Tagen
Veraltet27. Aug. 26, 16:20 UTC29. Aug. 26, 23:59 UTC
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
No 3–6%100%
Yes 15%+0%
Yes 12–15%7%
Yes 9–12%0%
Yes 6–9%4%
Yes 3–6%0%
Yes <3%0%
No <3%0%
No 6–9%0%
No 9–12%0%
No 12–15%0%
No 15%+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketWill Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext government of the United Kingdom?
KalshiWill Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No".
- Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.