Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: No 3–6%
Entschieden: 31.08.2026, 11:50
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 31.08.2026, 22:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
No 3–6%100%
Yes 15%+0%
Yes 12–15%7%
Yes 9–12%0%
Yes 6–9%4%
Yes 3–6%0%
Yes <3%0%
No <3%0%
No 6–9%0%
No 9–12%0%
No 12–15%0%
No 15%+0%
No 3–6%Gewonnen
Yes 15%+Verloren
Yes 12–15%Verloren
Yes 9–12%Verloren
Yes 6–9%Verloren
Yes 3–6%Verloren
Yes <3%Verloren
No <3%Verloren
No 6–9%Verloren
No 9–12%Verloren
No 12–15%Verloren
No 15%+Verloren
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The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between "Yes" and "No" in the referendum.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by "Yes" and "No".
- Percentages will be determined by dividing the number of valid votes each option receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the referendum.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If "Yes" and "No" receive the exact same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest "No" margin bracket.
