Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Sagal Abdi-Wali 65.3%-3.5ptFührend unter 23 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
78 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
2424,9 €
Liquidität
162.051,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
5
7d-Änderung
-13.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
1. Sept. 26, 16:14 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Labour to Win
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
KalshiHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketRegeln
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner?
- Polymarket bewertet Sagal Abdi-Wali mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner entschieden?
- Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner soll am 1. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- Wo wird Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi, Smarkets gelistet.