PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
8–9% 27.9%+0.5ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
28.219,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
2. Sept. 26, 18:26 UTC7. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Regeln
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
- This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
- In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
- In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
US Politics
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.4%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.7%
- Republicans sweep-0.5pt7.9%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 16,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase52.5%
- No change-1.0pt45.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.6pt65%
- October 31-4.0pt35%
- September 30-3.0pt8%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt0%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 540.543,8 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 539.141,6 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.5pt15%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 617,7 Mio. €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Florida Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für GOP Black vote share??
- Polymarket bewertet 8–9% mit 27.9% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird GOP Black vote share? entschieden?
- GOP Black vote share? soll am 7. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird GOP Black vote share? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Wo wird GOP Black vote share? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.