KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 8% 82%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
7394,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
16. Sept. 26, 21:00 UTC6. Nov. 26, 16:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Regeln
If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value is the percentage shown in the Republican (or Rep.) column of the aggregate Black row in the national U.S. House exit poll table.
- The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time.
- If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
- If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsKALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt28.7%
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+2 weitere Ergebnisse
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- December 31+1.6pt65%
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+17 weitere Ergebnisse
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POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 539.141,6 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
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- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Midterms: Republican share of Black vote??
- Kalshi bewertet Above 8% mit 82% (Stand: 23. September 2026).
- Wann wird Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? entschieden?
- Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? soll am 6. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Republican share of the Black vote in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Midterms: Republican share of Black vote? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.