Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 70%
Nein 70%Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
542,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
15.0% / 43.0%
Spread
28.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
2
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
9. Sept. 26, 22:30 UTC10. Okt. 26, 18:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Regeln
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.
- The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
- If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
