Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31, 2026 7%-1.2ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
141 €
Liquidität
12.556,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.5 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
314
7d-Änderung
+1.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
26. Aug. 25, 17:32 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
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0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Marine Le Pen wins the French election in 2027?
Manifold MarketsUkraine election called by which date?
PolymarketSpain snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketNext UK by-election called by which date?
PolymarketWill a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?
FutuurWill Rishi Sunak still be an MP by the time the next general election is called?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für French election called by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31, 2026 mit 7% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird French election called by which date? entschieden?
- French election called by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird French election called by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.