Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Canceled 94%-1.1%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1431,6 €
Liquidität
112.694,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.1% / 0.5%
Spread
400.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
5. Mai 26, 23:5011. Okt. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Canceled94%
Volumentrend
$1.6k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election
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POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
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POLYMARKET
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3084,3 €Conservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETS
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3003,7 €Ja: 6.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
594,1 €Ja: 15.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
- This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate.
- A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
- If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.