Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Canceled 94%-1.1%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1431,7 €
Liquidität
115.533 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.1% / 0.5%
Spread
400.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
5. Mai 26, 23:5011. Okt. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Canceled94%
Volumentrend
$1.6k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
11.884,1 €None before 2027: 41%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
3559,2 €AfD: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton By-Election - Winner
3174,3 €Conservative: 0.01%SMARKETS
SMARKETS
Bulgaria Presidential Election
2795,4 €Iliana Iotova: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Marine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?
427,9 €Ja: 1.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich party will come second-place in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
163,5 €Conservatives: 0.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
- This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate.
- A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
- If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.