PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitMaine 27%+4.0%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5398 €
Liquidität
68.268,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-31.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
26. Juni 26, 20:043. Nov. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Maine27%
CoinRithm-ReferenzTexas17%· 2 Plattformen· ±7 Pkt.
OhioMaineIowa
KALSHI
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Closest Senate race in 2026?
5Mon
12%
10%
+1.0%13%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen140.693,2 €
24h-Volumen2006 €
KALSHIRegeln
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$6.2k6. Juli3T Daten8. Juli
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The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.