PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocratic Party 93%-1.0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
2095,6 €
Liquidität
40.416,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.1%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 6:093. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic Party93%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
CA-01 House winner?
1J
97%
3%
40 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen895,9 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
516.624,5 €Gavin Newsom: 21%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
467.856,4 €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
369.212,5 €Hunter Biden: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
60.105,1 €Donald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President by July 31?
43.823,1 €Ja: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
IL-10 House Election Winner
4751 €Democratic Party: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.