Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseMike Thompson (D) 69.8%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet23. Mai 26, 01:43 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_4
- This resolves yes to the winner of the November election.
- This is for the general election
- Non advancers will resolve no early.
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
Offene Märkte
Politics
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will win the CA-4 house election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Mike Thompson (D) mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will win the CA-4 house election? entschieden?
- Who will win the CA-4 house election? soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will win the CA-4 house election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_4