Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 88%-0.0%
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
13,9 €
Liquidität
13.697,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
86.0% / 89.0%
Spread
3.5%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-4.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
24. Okt. 25, 19:5625. Juni 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes88%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
2.0%4Mon
-2.0%84%
16%
44 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen637,1 €
24h-Volumen10,9 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.