Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
38.5% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahlBusiness & Corporate
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (100%)
Entschieden: 26.06.2026, 07:04
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Yes
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
62%
KonsensAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 100%+0.4%
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2649 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+40.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 29 Tagen
Veraltet24. Okt. 25, 19:4825. Juni 26, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Yes
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 100% | — | 2649 € | 0 € | vor 29 Tagen | |
 Kalshi61% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 91% | — | 0 € | 41.485,5 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
3Mon
91%
9%
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen279.938,1 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.