Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Over 57%+2.5pt
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1131,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
39.0% / 76.0%
Spread
37.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+12.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 18:20 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if SPD wins at least 13% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if SPD wins less than 13% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%??
- Polymarket bewertet Over mit 57% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%? entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%? soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.