Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Linke 83%-5.5pt
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1 €
Liquidität
685,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
80.0% / 86.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+14.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 18:17 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or SPD?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or Grüne?
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PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSaxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent
KalshiWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than AfD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “AfD” if AfD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both Linke and AfD receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD??
- Polymarket bewertet Linke mit 83% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD? entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD? soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.