PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDemocratic Party 84%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1528,7 €
Liquidität
29.864,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
15.4%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-3.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 5:553. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic Party84%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democratic Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 84% | 0pt | 1528,7 € | 29.864,7 € | vor 4 Minuten | |
 Kalshi60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 88% | +4pt | 657,9 € | 3559,1 € | vor 19 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
AZ-04 House winner?
3.0%1J
+3.0%15%
88%
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen4680,6 €
24h-Volumen657,9 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1.7k10. Juli2T Daten11. Juli
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.