KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRepublican party 15%+3.0%
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
657,9 €
Liquidität
3559,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
25.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
7. Jan. 26, 1:043. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Republican party15%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democratic Party
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 84% | 0pt | 1528,8 € | 30.545,2 € | vor 2 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 88% | +4pt | 657,9 € | 3559,1 € | vor 17 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
AZ-04 House Election Winner
3.5%3Mon
84%
-3.5%14%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen17.387,4 €
24h-Volumen1528,8 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$7513. Juli2T Daten10. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
TX-03 House winner?
2674,9 €Keith Self: 93%KALSHI
KALSHIKS-04 House winner?
1877,5 €Republican party: 95%KALSHI
KALSHITN-05 House winner?
832,3 €Democratic party: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIAZ-05 House winner?
666,7 €Democratic party: 19%KALSHI
KALSHIKY-06 House winner?
656,7 €Zach Dembo: 36%KALSHI
KALSHICO-04 House winner?
612,9 €Democratic party: 32%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.