Will Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
2.6 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 202612T
MyriadVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCEingeschränkte verifizierte DatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 63.6%+2.6pt
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
89,1 €
Liquidität
1336,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
57
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
11. März 26, 14:10 UTC3. Nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?
KalshiWill the Democrats sweep the Senate, House, and Presidency in the 2028 election?
ForecastExRegeln
## **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 3, 2026 at 1:00 AM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** The outcome will be determined after Market Close, once the 2026 US Midterm Elections results are officially confirmed by the market resolution sources.
- ## **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to **“Yes”** if the Democratic Party controls **both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate** following the 2026 United States midterm elections. - Resolves to **“No”** if the Democratic Party does not control both chambers after the elections.
- - For the purposes of this market, a “Democratic sweep” means the Democratic Party controls both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the election. - A party will be considered to have control of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats. - A party will be considered to have control of the Senate if it holds: - More than half of the voting Senate seats, or - Half of the seats plus the Vice President, who can cast tie-breaking votes. - A candidate’s party affiliation will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation at the time the election results are conclusively called by the resolution sources. - Candidates without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered aligned with the party they most recently expressed intent to caucus with at the time results are finalized. - If control of the House remains ambiguous, the market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the U.S. House selected following the 2026 midterm elections. - If control of the Senate remains ambiguous, the market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Senate Majority Leader selected following the elections.
- ## **Resolution Details:**
