Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 50%
Prognostiker
49
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet19. Dez. 25, 04:47 UTC31. Dez. 26, 05:02 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia cede territory to China by 2040 as predicted by Sarah Paine?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: October
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine cedes control of any territory to Russia through a peace agreement , or other official arrangement..
- Resolves NO if Ukraine maintains its position of not ceding territory as part of any peace effort.
- ❗️Ukraine does not have to formally recognise the land as russian, just so long as they give it up for now as part of a peace deal ❗
- Ongoing peace negotiations between Ukraine, the U.S., and European officials have made progress on security guarantees but left significant gaps on territorial control.
- Putin has demanded that Ukraine surrender territory for the war to end, while Zelenskyy to date has refused to cede any land.
