Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
PolitikOne-OffUnterhaltungUS PoliticsWahlLatin America1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72.4%
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Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet19. Aug. 26, 15:17 UTC2. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiWill the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare an election emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare an election emergency?
LimitlessWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump, in his capacity as President of the United States, officially declares a new national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. 1601 et seq.) on or before November 3, 2026 (11:59 PM EST).
- Source of Truth: The declaration must be officially published as a Presidential Proclamation or Executive Order on the Federal Register (federalregister.gov) or the official White House website (whitehouse.gov).
- Exclusions: This market requires a newly declared national emergency.
- The continuation, extension, or modification of existing national emergencies (such as the January 2025 emergency regarding energy and critical minerals) will not qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 72% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? entschieden?
- Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? soll am 2. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.