KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Apr 1, 2027 58.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Before Apr 1, 2027 58.5%Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
113,7 €
Open Interest
2705,6 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 39 Minuten
28. Aug. 26, 16:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Apr 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
Manifold MarketsTrump declares election interference national emergency by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.