Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.4%
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 41 Minuten
3. Juni 26, 12:12 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen Iran’s new Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next next Supreme Leader?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
PolymarketWill Vladimir Putin and Benjamin Netanyahu meet in person in year 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich leaders will meet before 2027?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person anywhere at any point in 2026 (on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Qualifying Meeting: The meeting must be in-person and face-to-face.
- Bilateral virtual meetings, phone calls, or video conferences do not qualify.
- Verification: The meeting must be confirmed by official state channels (such as the White House or the Iranian government) or reported by credible, mainstream international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC, Bloomberg).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? · Before Aug 1, 2026 2%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump and Iran’s Supreme Leader meet in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump and Iran’s Supreme Leader meet in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Trump and Iran’s Supreme Leader meet in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump and Iran’s Supreme Leader meet in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria
- Wo wird Will Trump and Iran’s Supreme Leader meet in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.