Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 07:03 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 97.8%
Prognostiker
48
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet14. Jan. 26, 01:34 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US Congress override a Trump veto before the mid-term elections in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a former US president accuse Trump of interfering with the 2026 mid-term elections, before March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
Manifold MarketsWill Polymarket allow US persons to trade on the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhich coalition will form the next Swedish government?
PolymarketWhich coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PolymarketRegeln
The US is headed, I doubt the mid-terms will run, and if they do doubt Trump will allow the results to go through without issue.
- Expect he will either nullify the result (if not his way) or rig them to give him the result he wants
- Resolution criteria
- The 2026 US midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if the elections occur as scheduled on that date.
- The market resolves NO if Trump or his administration successfully prevents, postpones, or cancels the elections before they take place.
