Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.1%
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13. Nov. 26, 21:12 UTC16. Nov. 26, 21:00 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
YES if, by November 16, 2026 at 1pm Pacific, the FAA, DOT, CISA or FBI confirms that a cyberattack materially enabled or carried out by AI caused the November 13 nationwide ground stop, or Reuters/AP reports that investigators reached that finding.
- Otherwise NO.
- An ordinary AI-system malfunction, speculation, or a cyberattack with no confirmed AI involvement does not count.