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Veraltet13. Okt. 24, 21:55 UTC31. Dez. 26, 13:29 UTC
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Will Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell Optimus robots to the public by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a cybertruck model still be produced ten years after Elon Musk stops working for Tesla.
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
“My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”
- https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1801400924096839732
- [tweet]This was a prediction made during the Tesla 2024 Annual Stockholder Meeting.
- I take "working" to mean autonomously deployed in factories and performing productive labor.
- Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their interpretation of productive labor:
- Robots dancing as entertainers for the human factory workforce would be considered as performing productive labor.
