Will Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)?
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Veraltet3. Aug. 26, 14:07 UTC17. Feb. 27, 14:06 UTC
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Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell Optimus robots to the public by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla report a GAAP operating margin below 2% for a second straight quarter in Q3 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if, on or before February 15, 2027, Tesla officially states a calendar-year-2026 Optimus production figure of 10,000 units or more, in its Q4/FY2026 shareholder deck, its Q4/FY2026 earnings call remarks or Q&A, an official Tesla press release, or an official Tesla/Elon Musk post on X made in his capacity as CEO.
- Units 'produced'/'built' count regardless of whether they are sold, delivered, or kept for Tesla's own internal use; prototypes explicitly described as pre-production do not count.
- If Tesla gives only a cumulative-since-inception number, the 2026 figure is that number minus Tesla's publicly stated pre-2026 cumulative total; if Tesla gives a range, the low end is used.
- If Tesla discloses no specific Optimus unit count at all by February 15, 2027, or discloses a 2026 figure below 10,000, this resolves NO.
- Third-party estimates, supplier leaks, teardown analyses, and unnamed-source press reports do not count for either side.
- Context: as of Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings call (July 22, 2026), Tesla had not disclosed any cumulative Optimus production count, and Musk described Optimus manufacturing scale-up as 'the hardest product to scale manufacturing that we've ever made.' Tesla's own stated full-year 2026 Optimus production target is 50,000-100,000 units.
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TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 1,1 Mio. €
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
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- 585.562,7 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)? entschieden?
- Will Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)? soll am 17. Februar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if, on or before February 15, 2027, Tesla officially states a calendar-year-2026 Optimus production figure of 10,000 units or more, in its Q4/FY2026 shareholder deck, its Q4/FY2026 earnings call remarks or Q&A, an official Tesla press release, or an official Tesla/Elon Musk post on X made in his capacity as CEO.