Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 76.3%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet22. Jan. 26, 00:01 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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FutuurRegeln
Resolution criteria
- A general election will be held in Spain no later than Sunday, 22 August 2027, to elect the members of the 16th Cortes Generales.
- This market resolves YES if a national general election to elect a new prime minister occurs at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no such election takes place in 2026 (with the scheduled 2027 election occurring instead).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Spanish government or the Spanish Electoral Commission (Junta Electoral Central).
- The election must be a general election for the Congress of Deputies and Senate, not regional elections.
Offene Märkte
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- 603,1 Mio. €
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
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- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 76% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? entschieden?
- Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria