Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?
InflationOne-OffMacro & EconomyWirtschaft3J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
growth > 3% 97.2%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 46 Minuten
Verzogert4. Juli 24, 07:52 UTC1. Mai 30, 16:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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ForecastExRegeln
First eligible year is 2024, last one is 2029.
- Resolved using official figures of inflation adjusted GDP.
- If possible taking the median of the figures published by The World Bank, the IMF, and the UN, and in any case trying to keep to the spirit of the original question as much as possible.
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.705,7 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 77.923 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5527,9 €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet growth > 3% mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030? entschieden?
- Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030? soll am 1. Mai 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: First eligible year is 2024, last one is 2029.