Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 84%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
22. Jan. 25, 13:51 UTC15. Jan. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
A global conflict or lots of strife and smaller wars, or some other catastrophe at least indirectly caused by or involving the Trump administration.
- https://bsky.app/profile/bladeofthes.bsky.social/post/3lgazwndnrs2i
- This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
- Inspired by the Rumble market series by @CodeandSolder
