Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 51.3%
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7
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet11. Juni 25, 20:18 UTC21. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill US withdraw from NATO by which date?
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PolymarketRegeln
The pentagon has launched a review of the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal:
- https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/trump-administration-launches-review-biden-era-defense-pact-with-australia-uk-2025-06-11/
- Resolves YES if the US withdraws from the pact, or substantially downgrades its involvment in it, while Trump is president.
- As this could easily fall into a grey zone, I will not place any bet in this market.
- If the outcome is ambiguous, I will rely on a combination of sources and trader input to determine whether the Trump administration effectively "withdrew the US from AUKUS".
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 51% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump? entschieden?
- Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump? soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The pentagon has launched a review of the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal: