Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitikRussia / Ukraine3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 58.3%
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet10. Aug. 25, 22:09 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
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The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.
- If the route goes the full length and is in fact controlled by the US (US personal present and in control) this resolves YES.
- A partial route or a route not controlled by the US resolves NO.
- If it's unclear who controls the route, I'll create a poll.
- Context: https://www.reuters.com/world/us-secures-strategic-transit-corridor-armenia-azerbaijan-peace-deal-2025-08-07/
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 58% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? entschieden?
- Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.