Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (50%)
Entschieden: 21.08.2026, 00:14
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 50%
Prognostiker
0
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet7. Juli 26, 16:3121. Aug. 26, 0:14
Trends
50%
50%
Regeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if NASA or Katalyst Space Technologies officially announces that the Swift Boost mission has successfully rendezvoused with, docked with, and raised the orbit of the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory to a stable, higher altitude (targeting approximately 370 miles / 600 kilometers) by December 31, 2026.
- This market will resolve to NO if:
- The mission is officially declared a failure or is aborted by NASA or Katalyst Space Technologies before the deadline.
- The LINK servicing spacecraft fails to rendezvous, dock, or successfully raise Swift's orbit by December 31, 2026.
- The Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory undergoes uncontrolled atmospheric reentry or is otherwise destroyed.
Offene Märkte
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of August?
- Anthropic-0.5pt98%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 147.316,9 €
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in August?
- Above 1099%
- Above 11-1.0pt98%
- Above 12-4.0pt93%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 420.726,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic91%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 328.360 €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 202865%
- Before May 1, 2027-4.0pt51%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt46%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 690.858,2 €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.5pt77%
- 2+0.5pt21%
- 3-0.1pt2%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+1.0pt85%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Second-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Second-best AI Lab end of August?
- Total space launches in August
- How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of August?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 50% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ? entschieden?
- Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ? soll am 21. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria