Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Anthropic 93%+2.5%Führend unter 32 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
45.846,8 €
Liquidität
226.412,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.1% / 0.2%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
17. Juli 26, 3:1131. Aug. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Anthropic93%
Volumentrend
$52.3k17. Juli5T Daten21. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
33.102,7 €August 31: 93%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
14.781,4 €Before July 24th: 72%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6160,8 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Starship flight 13 happen?
4828,7 €Before 2026-02-01: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
4691,4 €Above 150: 70%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
4405,7 €Anthropic: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.