Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 91.1%
Prognostiker
35
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet1. Okt. 23, 02:28 UTC2. Dez. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a male be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItRegeln
Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
- To resolve the market positive, the new President's 70th birthday should be prior to the day of their election.
- Excludes anyone who has ever been (edit 26 aug 2024: elected) president before.
- Applies regardless of their election date.
- Resolves NA if no one new is elected US President by 2029.
