Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 90%
Prognostiker
38
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert12. Jan. 24, 21:25 UTC2. Okt. 28, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
Manifold MarketsWill a female be elected US vice president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolves YES if a person born on Nov 8th, 1958 or later wins the US Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated (due to illness etc).
- Resolves NO if a person born on Nov 7th, 1958 or earlier wins the election.
- Important: this market is for the 2028 election!
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 847.662,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 668.756,2 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
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- NJ-07 House winner?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 90% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028? entschieden?
- Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028? soll am 2. Oktober 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if a person born on Nov 8th, 1958 or later wins the US Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated (due to illness etc).