Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
One-OffChinaGeopolitik
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 57.4%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juni 24, 18:33 UTC1. Jan. 50, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?
Manifold MarketsNguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves based on the outcome of the corresponding Metaculus market.
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 94.726,4 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.228,1 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 356.247,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.345,5 €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11.908,2 €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 57% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050? entschieden?
- Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves based on the outcome of the corresponding Metaculus market.