Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?
PolitikOne-OffWahlLatin AmericaEurope4JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 65%
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet17. Jan. 26, 00:52 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- As of January 3, 2026, Nicolás Maduro was captured by U.S. forces and Vice-president Delcy Rodríguez was installed as acting president, leaving the timing of the next presidential election unclear.
- This market resolves YES if the next presidential election held in Venezuela meets international standards for free and fair elections.
- Resolution will be based on assessments from credible international election observation missions, including the Carter Center, UN Panel of Electoral Experts, and other recognized international observers.
- Key criteria include: transparent vote counting with disaggregated results published by polling station, absence of systematic fraud or irregularities, freedom of candidate registration and campaign activities, absence of widespread voter intimidation or repression, and media access for all candidates.
- Resolution will reference reports from these organizations and statements from major international bodies (EU, OAS, U.S. State Department, etc.).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair? entschieden?
- Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria