Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 75%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 57 Minuten
Verzogert25. Apr. 25, 22:44 UTC30. Dez. 62, 23:41 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be the next pope after Leo XIV?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV cite in his text the signatories of the CAIS Statement on AI Risk before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to YES, only if the next Pope and President USA Donald Trump shake hands (or perform gesture of similar manner, greeting by touching hands) while being in the office.
- This will resolve to NO once it's certain that the person in question will not be anymore the Pope/POTUS and there has been no handshake.
