Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.3%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet9. Apr. 26, 11:54 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Manifold MarketsPope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
As anything about Trump is quite erratic, I do no specify the reason.
- So pick your own reason why you think he will be excommunicated or not.
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As anything about Trump is quite erratic, I do no specify the reason.